Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.214439 0.247980 0.285002 0.328894 0.379515 0.436071 0.504071
2025-10-19 0.163585 0.209100 0.264481 0.336818 0.428840 0.542056 0.692064
2025-10-26 0.134445 0.184272 0.249156 0.339818 0.463293 0.625731 0.855986
2025-11-02 0.112393 0.163089 0.232867 0.335891 0.484235 0.690349 0.999059
2025-11-09 0.094000 0.143323 0.214553 0.324873 0.491580 0.734436 1.115963
2025-11-16 0.084383 0.134482 0.210008 0.332085 0.524689 0.817380 1.297216
2025-11-23 0.075393 0.125118 0.203078 0.334111 0.549149 0.888789 1.467688
2025-11-30 0.068618 0.118221 0.198865 0.339398 0.578582 0.970076 1.661805
2025-12-07 0.060691 0.108304 0.188396 0.332778 0.587052 1.017395 1.803847
2025-12-14 0.054394 0.100338 0.180146 0.328690 0.598857 1.070728 1.960924
2025-12-21 0.050211 0.095579 0.176821 0.332684 0.624941 1.150847 2.173292
2025-12-28 0.048262 0.094657 0.180175 0.349034 0.674973 1.278343 2.485416
2026-01-04 0.045601 0.092152 0.180475 0.359970 0.716623 1.395811 2.793953
2026-01-11 0.042875 0.089203 0.179616 0.368589 0.754824 1.510905 3.111255
2026-01-18 0.039843 0.085256 0.176320 0.371871 0.782564 1.608146 3.403060
2026-01-25 0.036373 0.079973 0.169729 0.367574 0.794151 1.673944 3.636900
2026-02-01 0.032569 0.073522 0.160002 0.355521 0.787965 1.702310 3.794222
2026-02-08 0.030910 0.071570 0.159560 0.363412 0.825474 1.826095 4.171362
2026-02-15 0.028933 0.068665 0.156721 0.365627 0.850572 1.925444 4.504587
2026-02-22 0.027404 0.066611 0.155535 0.371411 0.884248 2.046839 4.900651
2026-03-01 0.025089 0.062431 0.149063 0.364169 0.886869 2.098236 5.138737
2026-03-08 0.023180 0.059013 0.143996 0.359697 0.895523 2.164263 5.418596
2026-03-15 0.021985 0.057230 0.142629 0.364066 0.926057 2.284820 5.844338